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The Turnout Myth: Daron Shaw and John Petrocik Refute Commonly Held Assumptions in New Book

Fri, February 7, 2020
The Turnout Myth: Daron Shaw and John Petrocik Refute Commonly Held Assumptions in New Book
Daron Shaw

Daron Shaw and co-author John Petrocik (University of Missouri) have published a new book, The Turnout Myth: Voting Rates and Partisan Outcomes in American National Elections. Examining 50-plus years of presidential, gubernatorial, Senatorial, and House election data, Shaw and Petrocik turn conventional wisdom about turnout and voting on its head. According to Shaw, the top five myths they refute are:

 

 

1.       High turnout in elections automatically favors Democrats.

2.       Low turnout automatically favors Republicans.

3.       Low propensity voters are mostly liberal partisans.

4.       Democrats do better in presidential than midterms elections due to turnout.

5.       Reforms designed to increase participation would favor Democrats.

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